The market's passing-yards line sits at 259.5 with 2.1 expected touchdowns, the highest combined number on your roster this week. Buffalo's implied total of 27.25 is 2nd-highest on the slate.

Detroit's implied total is 26.0 and Gibbs holds 61% of carries plus a 14% target share. Kansas City allows the 18th-most half-PPR points to running backs, a neutral matchup the volume overcomes.

78% carry share over the last three weeks with Cincinnati implied at 26.5 points. Green Bay ranks 22nd against RBs over the trailing month.

A 31% target share, highest on your roster, against a Baltimore defense allowing the 9th-most points to receivers. The market prices him nearly 3 points above the platform this week.

Target share up three straight weeks (18% → 22% → 26%) and his receptions line jumped a full catch this week. Cincinnati allows the 4th-most half-PPR points to wide receivers over the last four weeks.

Receptions line of 5.5 leads all tight ends this week. Indianapolis is mid-pack against the position (15th), his floor is targets, not matchup.

Questionable (hamstring), did not practice Wednesday. Receiving-yards line moved down 12.5 since Sunday.

Buffalo is a 7.5-point favorite, which favors a run-heavy finish, but his carry share dipped to 54% last week.

The Jets' implied total is just 15.5, lowest on the slate. Opponent scoring pressure is the single strongest predictor of defensive fantasy points.